Ligue 1 2017/18 Teams with Low xG but Clinical Finishing: Signs of Overperformance
In the 2017/18 Ligue 1 season, a number of teams turned relatively modest chance quality into impressive goal returns, scoring more than expected goals (xG) models projected from their shots. Those sides, whose goal tallies outpaced xG, became classic candidates for discussion about overperformance: were they genuinely efficient or simply riding a streak that data…